Volume has exploded on prediction market platform Polymarket since its launch, with notable surges during the 2024 election ...

LLM training data mixture optimization breaks when training pools shift — every prior proxy experiment becomes stale.

Prediction markets now move $24 billion a month — more than legal sportsbooks. Here's how they avoid sports betting taxes, and how and why states are fighting back.

Looped language model training cannot control hidden-state norm growth because RMSNorm normalizes scale away before the loss ...

Prediction-market platform Kalshi recently unveiled a swath of “market integrity” updates that all relate to one thing: stopping illegal trading by insiders. The updates include things like risk ...

The Trump administration proposed new rules Wednesday for regulating prediction markets, seeking to clarify what types of events can be listed for trading on the platforms. The Commodity Futures ...

Trump regulators are proposing an expansive new set of rules on how they will govern the booming prediction markets, with parameters that will continue to allow most sports-related bets while trying ...

The Trump administration on Wednesday proposed a set of new federal regulations for prediction markets that appear to largely leave the booming industry intact. Importantly, the new rules would ...

Earlier this year, Thomas Christian Owens decided to try his hand at prediction market trading for the first time. He created a Kalshi account in January. Three months and a $500 deposit later, he ...

President Donald Trump on Tuesday stressed the importance of establishing the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s “exclusive authority” over prediction markets and vowed to protect the ...

Prediction markets allow people to trade on the outcome of real-world events, from basketball games to elections. And trading volume on Kalshi and Polymarket – the two leading prediction markets – has ...

The Oklahoma City Thunder evened their 2026 NBA playoff series with the San Antonio Spurs with a Game 2 victory at home. Now Victor Wembanyama and the Spurs return to the Lone Star State with the ...